Necaxa x Leon Betting tips for March 15 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Necaxa x Leon, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 01:00

Necaxa 2.10

X 3.60

Leon 3.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Necaxa x Leon:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Necaxa x Leon

Some important points for the tip for Necaxa x Leon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $72.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $443.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Necaxa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Necaxa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Necaxa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Leon.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Necaxa x Leon?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Necaxa x Leon:

Analysis from Necaxa x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 15 of March

When the best bet on Necaxa x Leon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281359 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Necaxa x Leon

Is betting on Necaxa worth it?

🔵 Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $517.00;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$13.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leon?

🔴 Leon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $585.80
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$124.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Necaxa x Leon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Necaxa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Necaxa x Leon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Necaxa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Necaxa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Necaxa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Necaxa x Leon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.