📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe
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Analysis from 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe for the Germany DFB Pokal – 18 of January
🏟️ 1860 Munich X Karlsruhe – Germany DFB Pokal
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between 1860 Munich and Karlsruhe.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289715 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe
Is it worth betting on 1860 Munich?
🔵 1860 Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $416.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$413.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Karlsruhe?
🔴 Karlsruhe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $798.00;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$368.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 1860 Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 1860 Munich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 1860 Munich.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Karlsruhe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 1860 Munich x Karlsruhe
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves