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Home » Predictions » Others » 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno Betting tips for November 25 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Monday, 25 November 2024, 22h00 Paraguay Division Profesional
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
PREDICTION 2 de Mayo wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno Betting tips for November 25 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
22:00
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
2.05
X
3.20
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno:

🔮 2 de Mayo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on 2 de Mayo, you can win up to $1025.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on 2 de Mayo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Luqueno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno:

Analysis from 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 25 of November

🏟️ 2 de Mayo X Sportivo Luqueno – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 2 de Mayo – Winning probability: 62.87% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.29% | Fair line: 4.7
🔴 Sportivo Luqueno – Winning probability: 15.83% | Fair line: 6.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 2 de Mayo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227805 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno

Should you bet on 2 de Mayo?

🔵 2 de Mayo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $661.50
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$291.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Should you bet on Sportivo Luqueno?

🔴 Sportivo Luqueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 2 de Mayo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 2 de Mayo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 2 de Mayo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 2 de Mayo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 2 de Mayo x Sportivo Luqueno

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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