π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
![]() 2.20 |
X 3.02 |
Kusadasispor ![]() 3.15 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
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Analysis from 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 – 16 of January
ποΈ 52 Orduspor FK X Kusadasispor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
Is betting on 52 Orduspor FK worth it?
π΅ 52 Orduspor FK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $564.00;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$34.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $565.60
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$154.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Kusadasispor?
π΄ Kusadasispor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $516.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$244.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 52 Orduspor FK
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 52 Orduspor FK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 52 Orduspor FK.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 52 Orduspor FK.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 52 Orduspor FK x Kusadasispor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves