π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
![]() 1.60 |
X 3.70 |
Antalya Kestelspor ![]() 4.90 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
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Analysis from 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 – 16 of January
ποΈ 76 Igdir Belediyespor X Antalya Kestelspor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between 76 Igdir Belediyespor and Antalya Kestelspor.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
Is it a good idea to bet on 76 Igdir Belediyespor?
π΅ 76 Igdir Belediyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$40.00.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $702.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$38.00.
Should you bet on Antalya Kestelspor?
π΄ Antalya Kestelspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$265.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 76 Igdir Belediyespor
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 76 Igdir Belediyespor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 76 Igdir Belediyespor.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for 76 Igdir Belediyespor x Antalya Kestelspor
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves