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Home » Predictions » Others » A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
ASD Fanfulla ASD Fanfulla
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
2.25
X
3.10
ASD Fanfulla ASD Fanfulla
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla:

👉 If you had bet $100 on A.C. Crema 1908 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Fanfulla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against ASD Fanfulla, A.C. Crema 1908 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, A.C. Crema 1908 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ A.C. Crema 1908 X ASD Fanfulla – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 A.C. Crema 1908 – Winning probability: 39.90% | Fair line: 2.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.85% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 ASD Fanfulla – Winning probability: 27.25% | Fair line: 3.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 A.C. Crema 1908
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla

Is betting on A.C. Crema 1908 worth it?

🔵 A.C. Crema 1908: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$23.00.

Is it worth betting on ASD Fanfulla?

🔴 ASD Fanfulla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 A.C. Crema 1908
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 A.C. Crema 1908, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 A.C. Crema 1908.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for A.C. Crema 1908 x ASD Fanfulla

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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