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Home » Predictions » Others » A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina Betting tips for April 14 in Italy Serie D
Monday, 14 April 2025, 13h00 Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
PREDICTION Desenzano Calvina Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina Betting tips for April 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
13:00
A.C. Crema 1908 A.C. Crema 1908
2.95
X
3.10
Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina
2.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina:

🔮 Desenzano Calvina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Desenzano Calvina, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on A.C. Crema 1908 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Desenzano Calvina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, A.C. Crema 1908 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 A.C. Crema 1908 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, A.C. Crema 1908 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, A.C. Crema 1908 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Desenzano Calvina.

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Summary

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Analysis from A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina for the Italy Serie D – 14 of April

🏟️ A.C. Crema 1908 X Desenzano Calvina – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 A.C. Crema 1908 – Winning probability: 26.79% | Fair line: 3.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.69% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 Desenzano Calvina – Winning probability: 40.52% | Fair line: 2.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 A.C. Crema 1908
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina

Is betting on A.C. Crema 1908 worth it?

🔵 A.C. Crema 1908: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $526.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Desenzano Calvina?

🔴 Desenzano Calvina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $492.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 A.C. Crema 1908
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 A.C. Crema 1908, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 A.C. Crema 1908.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 A.C. Crema 1908.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for A.C. Crema 1908 x Desenzano Calvina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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