A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
13:30

A.C. Ospitaletto
1.85

X
3.25

ASD Varesina

3.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina

Important information for your tip for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on A.C. Ospitaletto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-370.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Varesina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, A.C. Ospitaletto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, A.C. Ospitaletto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Summary

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Analysis from A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina for the Italy Serie D – 9 of March

🏟️ A.C. Ospitaletto X ASD Varesina – Italy Serie D
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 A.C. Ospitaletto – Winning probability: 55.43% | Fair line: 1.8
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.80% | Fair line: 3.47
🔴 ASD Varesina – Winning probability: 15.77% | Fair line: 6.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 A.C. Ospitaletto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina

Is it worth betting on A.C. Ospitaletto?

🔵 A.C. Ospitaletto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $467.50;
And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$17.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $652.50
And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$57.50.

Is betting on ASD Varesina worth it?

🔴 ASD Varesina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $440.00;
And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 A.C. Ospitaletto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 A.C. Ospitaletto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 A.C. Ospitaletto.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for A.C. Ospitaletto x ASD Varesina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.