Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah Betting tips for October 1 in Saudi Arabia Division 1

Our betting tip for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 12:40

Abha 2.00

X 3.20

Al Faisaly Harmah 3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah

Some important points for the tip for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Abha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-103.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Al Faisaly Harmah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 In the last 5 Al Faisaly Harmah matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah, with Abha as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Abha conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah for the Saudi Arabia Division 1 – 1 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Abha and Al Faisaly Harmah.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah

Is betting on Abha worth it?

🔵 Abha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Al Faisaly Harmah?

🔴 Al Faisaly Harmah: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Abha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Abha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Abha.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Abha x Al Faisaly Harmah

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.