AC Bra x Lavagnese Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
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29/9/2024 10:00 |
 AC Bra1.63 |
X 3.50 |
Lavagnese  4.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Bra x Lavagnese:
๐ฎ AC Bra wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Bra, you can win up to $815.00!
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Important information for your tip for AC Bra x Lavagnese: ๐ If you had bet $100 on AC Bra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0. |
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Analysis from AC Bra x Lavagnese for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ AC Bra X Lavagnese – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on AC Bra x Lavagnese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Bra x Lavagnese
Should you bet on AC Bra?
๐ต AC Bra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $434.70;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$124.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$265.00.
Is betting on Lavagnese worth it?
๐ด Lavagnese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $375.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$525.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AC Bra x Lavagnese
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Bra
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Bra x Lavagnese
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AC Bra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 AC Bra.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Bra x Lavagnese
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
