AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 2/10/2024 10:00 |
 AC Chievo Verona2.50 |
X 3.10 |
ASD Varesina  2.55 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina
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Some important points for the tip for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Varesina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0. |
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Analysis from AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October
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🏟️ AC Chievo Verona X ASD Varesina – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina
Is it a good idea to bet on AC Chievo Verona?
🔵 AC Chievo Verona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Varesina?
🔴 ASD Varesina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $542.50;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$107.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AC Chievo Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AC Chievo Verona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 AC Chievo Verona.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 ASD Varesina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Chievo Verona x ASD Varesina
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
