AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

AC Chievo Verona 2.15

X 2.92

USD Castellanzese 3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese

Some important points for the tip for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Castellanzese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, AC Chievo Verona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, USD Castellanzese conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AC Chievo Verona is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Chievo Verona and USD Castellanzese.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese

Is it worth betting on AC Chievo Verona?

🔵 AC Chievo Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $517.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $614.40;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$65.60.

Is it worth betting on USD Castellanzese?

🔴 USD Castellanzese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – profiting $506.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AC Chievo Verona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AC Chievo Verona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AC Chievo Verona.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Chievo Verona x USD Castellanzese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.