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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group A
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
PREDICTION No tip
Pro Patria Pro Patria
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AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
16:30
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
1.42
X
3.76
Pro Patria Pro Patria
7.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria

Important information for your tip for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AC Feralpisalo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pro Patria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, AC Feralpisalo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Pro Patria matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, AC Feralpisalo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pro Patria conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AC Feralpisalo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Pro Patria.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria for the Italy Serie C Group A – 12 of January

🏟️ AC Feralpisalo X Pro Patria – Italy Serie C Group A
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ AC Feralpisalo – Winning probability: 66.46% | Fair line: 1.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.26% | Fair line: 4.49
πŸ”΄ Pro Patria – Winning probability: 11.28% | Fair line: 8.86
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Feralpisalo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AC Feralpisalo and Pro Patria.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria

Should you bet on AC Feralpisalo?

πŸ”΅ AC Feralpisalo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $277.20;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$62.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $607.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$172.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pro Patria?

πŸ”΄ Pro Patria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Feralpisalo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AC Feralpisalo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 AC Feralpisalo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Pro Patria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Feralpisalo x Pro Patria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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