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Home » Predictions » Others » AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
AC Magenta 1945 AC Magenta 1945
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Club Milano Club Milano
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
AC Magenta 1945 AC Magenta 1945
2.50
X
3.10
Club Milano Club Milano
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Important information for your tip for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Magenta 1945 in each of its last 2 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Milano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ AC Magenta 1945 X Club Milano – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 AC Magenta 1945 – Winning probability: 30.60% | Fair line: 3.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.82% | Fair line: 2.96
🔴 Club Milano – Winning probability: 35.58% | Fair line: 2.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AC Magenta 1945
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano

Should you bet on AC Magenta 1945?

🔵 AC Magenta 1945: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $465.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $714.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$54.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Milano?

🔴 Club Milano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AC Magenta 1945
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AC Magenta 1945, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 AC Magenta 1945.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Club Milano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Magenta 1945 x Club Milano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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