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Home » Predictions » AC Mestre x APDC Chions Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
AC Mestre AC Mestre
PREDICTION AC Mestre wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
APDC Chions APDC Chions
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Mestre x APDC Chions Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AC Mestre x APDC Chions, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
AC Mestre AC Mestre
1.44
X
4.05
APDC Chions APDC Chions
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AC Mestre x APDC Chions:

🔮 AC Mestre wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Mestre, you can win up to $720.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AC Mestre x APDC Chions:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Mestre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-39.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on APDC Chions in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against APDC Chions, AC Mestre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 AC Mestre matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, APDC Chions conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AC Mestre x APDC Chions?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Mestre x APDC Chions, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AC Mestre x APDC Chions for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ AC Mestre X APDC Chions – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 AC Mestre – Winning probability: 83.50% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.97% | Fair line: 7.71
🔴 APDC Chions – Winning probability: 3.54% | Fair line: 28.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AC Mestre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Mestre x APDC Chions right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Mestre x APDC Chions

Should you bet on AC Mestre?

🔵 AC Mestre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 830 times – profiting $365.20;
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$195.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $396.50;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$473.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on APDC Chions?

🔴 APDC Chions: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $200.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Mestre x APDC Chions

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AC Mestre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Mestre x APDC Chions

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 AC Mestre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 AC Mestre.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Mestre x APDC Chions

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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