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Home » Predictions » Others » AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group B
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie C Group B
AC Milan U23 AC Milan U23
PREDICTION AC Milan U23 wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for October 30 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
17:30
AC Milan U23 AC Milan U23
2.05
X
2.90
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
3.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio:

🔮 AC Milan U23 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan U23, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Milan U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Pineto Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AC Milan U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 30 of October

🏟️ AC Milan U23 X Asd Pineto Calcio – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 AC Milan U23 – Winning probability: 56.44% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.76% | Fair line: 3.6
🔴 Asd Pineto Calcio – Winning probability: 15.81% | Fair line: 6.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AC Milan U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan U23?

🔵 AC Milan U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $532.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$188.00.

Is betting on Asd Pineto Calcio worth it?

🔴 Asd Pineto Calcio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AC Milan U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AC Milan U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AC Milan U23.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan U23 x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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