AC Nardo x Nocerina Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 AC Nardo2.25 |
X 3.15 |
Nocerina  2.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Nardo x Nocerina:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AC Nardo x Nocerina
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The main points for the tip for AC Nardo x Nocerina: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nocerina scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from AC Nardo x Nocerina for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ AC Nardo X Nocerina – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on AC Nardo x Nocerina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Nardo x Nocerina
Is betting on AC Nardo worth it?
🔵 AC Nardo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.
Should you bet on Nocerina?
🔴 Nocerina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $536.50;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$173.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match AC Nardo x Nocerina
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AC Nardo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Nardo x Nocerina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 AC Nardo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AC Nardo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Nocerina.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Nardo x Nocerina
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
