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Home » Predictions » Others » AC Reggiana x Bari Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie B
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Bari Bari
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Reggiana x Bari Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for AC Reggiana x Bari, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
14:00
AC Reggiana AC Reggiana
2.40
X
3.00
Bari Bari
3.09

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AC Reggiana x Bari:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for AC Reggiana x Bari:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Reggiana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 6 Bari matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AC Reggiana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bari conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Reggiana x Bari for the Italy Serie B – 12 of January

🏟️ AC Reggiana X Bari – Italy Serie B
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 AC Reggiana – Winning probability: 41.88% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.74% | Fair line: 2.52
🔴 Bari – Winning probability: 18.38% | Fair line: 5.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Reggiana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Reggiana x Bari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AC Reggiana x Bari

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Reggiana?

🔵 AC Reggiana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Bari?

🔴 Bari: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $376.20
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$443.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Reggiana x Bari

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AC Reggiana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Reggiana x Bari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AC Reggiana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AC Reggiana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AC Reggiana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Reggiana x Bari

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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