Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira Betting tips for April 14 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 00:00

Academia Puerto Cabello 2.59

X 2.78

Deportivo Tachira 2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1390.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Academia Puerto Cabello in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $103.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Tachira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 Academia Puerto Cabello has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Tachira playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira:

Analysis from Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira for the Venezuela Primera Division – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira

Is it worth betting on Academia Puerto Cabello?

🔵 Academia Puerto Cabello: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $492.90;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $640.80;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$0.80.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Tachira?

🔴 Deportivo Tachira: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $594.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Academia Puerto Cabello
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Academia Puerto Cabello and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Academia Puerto Cabello.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Deportivo Tachira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Academia Puerto Cabello x Deportivo Tachira

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.