Accrington Stanley x Newport County Betting tips for March 11 in England League 2
| 📅 11/3/2025 19:45 |
 Accrington Stanley1.70 |
X 3.60 |
Newport County  4.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Accrington Stanley x Newport County:
🔮 Accrington Stanley wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Accrington Stanley, you can win up to $850.00!
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Important information for your tip for Accrington Stanley x Newport County: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Accrington Stanley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. |
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Analysis from Accrington Stanley x Newport County for the England League 2 – 11 of March
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🏟️ Accrington Stanley X Newport County – England League 2 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Accrington Stanley and Newport County.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Accrington Stanley x Newport County
Is it a good idea to bet on Accrington Stanley?
🔵 Accrington Stanley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $455.00;
- And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.
Should you bet on Newport County?
🔴 Newport County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$402.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Accrington Stanley x Newport County
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Accrington Stanley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Accrington Stanley x Newport County
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Accrington Stanley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Accrington Stanley.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Newport County.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Accrington Stanley x Newport County
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
