📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Accrington Stanley x Sunderland
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Accrington Stanley x Sunderland?
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Analysis from Accrington Stanley x Sunderland for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Accrington Stanley X Sunderland – England League 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Accrington Stanley and Sunderland.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Accrington Stanley x Sunderland
Should you bet on Accrington Stanley?
🔵 Accrington Stanley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $503.50;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$306.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sunderland?
🔴 Sunderland: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $560.50;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Accrington Stanley x Sunderland
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Accrington Stanley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Accrington Stanley x Sunderland
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Accrington Stanley, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Accrington Stanley.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Accrington Stanley x Sunderland
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves