Accrington Stanley x Swindon Betting tips for November 30 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Accrington Stanley x Swindon, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Accrington Stanley 2.28

X 3.40

Swindon 2.98

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Accrington Stanley x Swindon:

🔮 Swindon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Swindon, you can win up to $1490.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Accrington Stanley x Swindon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Accrington Stanley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $160.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Swindon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Swindon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Swindon, Accrington Stanley scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Swindon matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley x Swindon, with Accrington Stanley as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Swindon conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Accrington Stanley conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Swindon.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Accrington Stanley x Swindon?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Accrington Stanley x Swindon, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Accrington Stanley x Swindon for the England FA Cup – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Accrington Stanley x Swindon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Accrington Stanley x Swindon

Is betting on Accrington Stanley worth it?

🔵 Accrington Stanley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $665.60
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$185.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Should you bet on Swindon?

🔴 Swindon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $594.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$106.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Accrington Stanley x Swindon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Accrington Stanley
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Accrington Stanley x Swindon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Accrington Stanley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Accrington Stanley.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Swindon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Accrington Stanley x Swindon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.