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Home » Predictions » Others » Acireale x ASD Paterno Betting tips for November 5 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 05 November 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Acireale Acireale
PREDICTION Acireale wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
ASD Paterno ASD Paterno
ODD: @2.12
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Acireale x ASD Paterno Betting tips for November 5 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Acireale x ASD Paterno, Wednesday, 5/11/2025
📅 5/11/2025
13:30
Acireale Acireale
2.12
X
2.88
ASD Paterno ASD Paterno
3.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Acireale x ASD Paterno:

🔮 Acireale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Acireale, you can win up to $1060.00!

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The main points for the tip for Acireale x ASD Paterno:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Acireale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-272.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Paterno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Acireale scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Acireale conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Acireale has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against ASD Paterno playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Acireale x ASD Paterno for the Italy Serie D – 5 of November

🏟️ Acireale X ASD Paterno – Italy Serie D
📅 5 of November, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Acireale – Winning probability: 50.56% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.07% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 ASD Paterno – Winning probability: 17.38% | Fair line: 5.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Acireale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Acireale x ASD Paterno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1433277 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Acireale x ASD Paterno

Is it worth betting on Acireale?

🔵 Acireale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $571.20;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$81.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $601.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$78.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Paterno?

🔴 ASD Paterno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $411.40;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$418.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Acireale x ASD Paterno

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Acireale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Acireale x ASD Paterno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Acireale and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Acireale. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Acireale x ASD Paterno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves