ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott Betting tips for March 12 in Mauritania Division 1

Our betting tip for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott, Wednesday, 12/3/2025

📅 12/3/2025
00:00

ACS Ksar
3.25

X
3.28

AS Douanes Nouakchott

2.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott:

🔮 AS Douanes Nouakchott wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AS Douanes Nouakchott, you can win up to $1020.00!

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The main points for the tip for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ACS Ksar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AS Douanes Nouakchott in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against AS Douanes Nouakchott, ACS Ksar scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 ACS Ksar matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott, with ACS Ksar as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, ACS Ksar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AS Douanes Nouakchott.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, AS Douanes Nouakchott has not lost any of them.

Summary

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Analysis from ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott for the Mauritania Division 1 – 12 of March

🏟️ ACS Ksar X AS Douanes Nouakchott – Mauritania Division 1
📅 12 of March, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 ACS Ksar – Winning probability: 20.85% | Fair line: 4.8
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.37% | Fair line: 3.65
🔴 AS Douanes Nouakchott – Winning probability: 51.78% | Fair line: 1.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ACS Ksar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280099 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott

Should you bet on ACS Ksar?

🔵 ACS Ksar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 210 times – profiting $472.50;
And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 270 times – profiting $615.60;
And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$114.40.

Should you bet on AS Douanes Nouakchott?

🔴 AS Douanes Nouakchott: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 520 times – profiting $540.80;
And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$60.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ACS Ksar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 ACS Ksar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 ACS Ksar.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ACS Ksar x AS Douanes Nouakchott

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.