📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AD Castro Daire x Leca
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Analysis from AD Castro Daire x Leca for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January
🏟️ AD Castro Daire X Leca – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
When the best bet on AD Castro Daire x Leca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Castro Daire x Leca
Is betting on AD Castro Daire worth it?
🔵 AD Castro Daire: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $443.70;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $717.44;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$97.44.
Should you bet on Leca?
🔴 Leca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $438.04;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$91.96.
Handicaps analysis for the match AD Castro Daire x Leca
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Castro Daire
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Castro Daire x Leca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 AD Castro Daire, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 AD Castro Daire.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 AD Castro Daire.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Castro Daire x Leca
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves