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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 11h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
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AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
11:00
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
2.25
X
2.88
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
3.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B

Some important points for the tip for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Ceuta FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, AD Ceuta FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ AD Ceuta FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 2 of February

🏟️ AD Ceuta FC X Atletico Madrid B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ AD Ceuta FC – Winning probability: 44.81% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.04% | Fair line: 2.94
πŸ”΄ Atletico Madrid B – Winning probability: 21.15% | Fair line: 4.73
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Ceuta FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Ceuta FC and Atletico Madrid B.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B

Is betting on AD Ceuta FC worth it?

πŸ”΅ AD Ceuta FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$12.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $639.20
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid B?

πŸ”΄ Atletico Madrid B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $451.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$338.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Ceuta FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AD Ceuta FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AD Ceuta FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Ceuta FC x Atletico Madrid B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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