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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Grecia x AD Carmelita Betting tips for January 11 in Costa Rica Segunda
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 23h00 Costa Rica Segunda
AD Grecia AD Grecia
PREDICTION No tip
AD Carmelita AD Carmelita
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AD Grecia x AD Carmelita Betting tips for January 11 in Costa Rica Segunda

Our betting tip for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
23:00
AD Grecia AD Grecia
2.30
X
3.60
AD Carmelita AD Carmelita
2.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita

Important information for your tip for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Grecia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Carmelita in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against AD Carmelita, AD Grecia scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AD Grecia x AD Carmelita, with AD Grecia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, AD Carmelita conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ AD Grecia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against AD Carmelita playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AD Grecia x AD Carmelita?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from AD Grecia x AD Carmelita for the Costa Rica Segunda – 11 of January

🏟️ AD Grecia X AD Carmelita – Costa Rica Segunda
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ AD Grecia – Winning probability: 36.71% | Fair line: 2.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.16% | Fair line: 4.14
πŸ”΄ AD Carmelita – Winning probability: 39.13% | Fair line: 2.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Grecia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Grecia and AD Carmelita.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita

Is it worth betting on AD Grecia?

πŸ”΅ AD Grecia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $481.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$149.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is betting on AD Carmelita worth it?

πŸ”΄ AD Carmelita: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $604.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$5.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Grecia x AD Carmelita

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Grecia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Grecia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AD Grecia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Grecia x AD Carmelita

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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