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19/1/2022 19:30 |
 AD Hogar Alcarreno11.58 |
X 4.70 |
Villarrubia CF  1.23 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF:
๐ฎ Villarrubia CF wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villarrubia CF, you can win up to $615.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF
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Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ AD Hogar Alcarreno X Villarrubia CF – Spain Tercera Group 18 |
When the best bet on AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF
Is it worth betting on AD Hogar Alcarreno?
๐ต AD Hogar Alcarreno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$1000.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $74.00;
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$906.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Villarrubia CF?
๐ด Villarrubia CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $225.40
- And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$205.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 AD Hogar Alcarreno
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 AD Hogar Alcarreno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 AD Hogar Alcarreno.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 AD Hogar Alcarreno.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Hogar Alcarreno x Villarrubia CF
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
