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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Machico x Cinfaes Betting tips for October 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 12h30 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
AD Machico AD Machico
PREDICTION No tip
Cinfaes Cinfaes
Don't miss this prediction!

AD Machico x Cinfaes Betting tips for October 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for AD Machico x Cinfaes, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
12:30
AD Machico AD Machico
2.75
X
3.10
Cinfaes Cinfaes
2.37

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AD Machico x Cinfaes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Machico x Cinfaes

Important information for your tip for AD Machico x Cinfaes:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, AD Machico scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cinfaes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Cinfaes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AD Machico x Cinfaes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Machico x Cinfaes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AD Machico x Cinfaes for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of October

🏟️ AD Machico X Cinfaes – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ AD Machico – Winning probability: 28.01% | Fair line: 3.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.63% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ Cinfaes – Winning probability: 40.36% | Fair line: 2.48
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Machico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Machico x Cinfaes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Machico x Cinfaes

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Machico?

πŸ”΅ AD Machico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is betting on Cinfaes worth it?

πŸ”΄ Cinfaes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$52.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Machico x Cinfaes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Machico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Machico x Cinfaes

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Machico and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AD Machico.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Machico x Cinfaes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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