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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
PREDICTION No tip
Salgueiros Salgueiros
Don't miss this prediction!

AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
15:00
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
2.30
X
3.10
Salgueiros Salgueiros
2.74

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros

Some important points for the tip for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Marco 09 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-49.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salgueiros in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, Salgueiros scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Salgueiros matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Salgueiros has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ AD Marco 09 X Salgueiros – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ AD Marco 09 – Winning probability: 45.46% | Fair line: 2.2
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.16% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ Salgueiros – Winning probability: 26.39% | Fair line: 3.79
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Marco 09
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros

Should you bet on AD Marco 09?

πŸ”΅ AD Marco 09: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$35.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Salgueiros?

πŸ”΄ Salgueiros: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $452.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$287.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Marco 09
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Marco 09 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AD Marco 09.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Salgueiros.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Marco 09 x Salgueiros

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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