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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Parla x Collado Villalba Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 7
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 10h30 Spain Tercera Group 7
AD Parla AD Parla
PREDICTION No tip
Collado Villalba Collado Villalba
Don't miss this prediction!

AD Parla x Collado Villalba Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for AD Parla x Collado Villalba, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
10:30
AD Parla AD Parla
6.50
X
3.70
Collado Villalba Collado Villalba
1.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Parla x Collado Villalba:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Parla x Collado Villalba

Important information for your tip for AD Parla x Collado Villalba:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Parla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Collado Villalba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $171.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, AD Parla conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Collado Villalba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Parla x Collado Villalba?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Parla x Collado Villalba, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AD Parla x Collado Villalba for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 1 of December

🏟️ AD Parla X Collado Villalba – Spain Tercera Group 7
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 10:30
πŸ”΅ AD Parla – Winning probability: 18.17% | Fair line: 5.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.56% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Collado Villalba – Winning probability: 53.27% | Fair line: 1.88
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Parla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Parla and Collado Villalba.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Parla x Collado Villalba

Is betting on AD Parla worth it?

πŸ”΅ AD Parla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $990.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $783.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$73.00.

Is betting on Collado Villalba worth it?

πŸ”΄ Collado Villalba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $249.10
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$220.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Parla x Collado Villalba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Parla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Parla x Collado Villalba

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 AD Parla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 AD Parla.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 AD Parla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Parla x Collado Villalba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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