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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD San Carlos x Cartagines Betting tips for April 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 17 April 2025, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
PREDICTION No tip
Cartagines Cartagines
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AD San Carlos x Cartagines Betting tips for April 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD San Carlos x Cartagines, Thursday, 17/4/2025
πŸ“… 17/4/2025
01:00
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
2.76
X
3.00
Cartagines Cartagines
2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD San Carlos x Cartagines:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AD San Carlos x Cartagines

The main points for the tip for AD San Carlos x Cartagines:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cartagines in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cartagines scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 AD San Carlos matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 Cartagines matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AD San Carlos x Cartagines, with AD San Carlos as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Cartagines has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ AD San Carlos has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cartagines playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD San Carlos x Cartagines for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 17 of April

🏟️ AD San Carlos X Cartagines – Costa Rica Primera Division
πŸ“… 17 of April, 2025 – 01:00
πŸ”΅ AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 27.96% | Fair line: 3.58
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.59% | Fair line: 3.27
πŸ”΄ Cartagines – Winning probability: 41.46% | Fair line: 2.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD San Carlos x Cartagines is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD San Carlos x Cartagines

Is it a good idea to bet on AD San Carlos?

πŸ”΅ AD San Carlos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $492.80;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$227.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$70.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Cartagines?

πŸ”΄ Cartagines: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $594.50;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$4.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD San Carlos x Cartagines

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD San Carlos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD San Carlos x Cartagines

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AD San Carlos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 AD San Carlos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 AD San Carlos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD San Carlos x Cartagines

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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