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Home » Predictions » Others » AD San Viator x SD Deusto Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h00 Spain Tercera Group 4
AD San Viator AD San Viator
PREDICTION SD Deusto Wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
SD Deusto SD Deusto
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

AD San Viator x SD Deusto Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for AD San Viator x SD Deusto, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
12:00
AD San Viator AD San Viator
5.75
X
3.80
SD Deusto SD Deusto
1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD San Viator x SD Deusto:

🔮 SD Deusto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Deusto, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AD San Viator x SD Deusto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Viator in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Deusto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SD Deusto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from AD San Viator x SD Deusto for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 1 of December

🏟️ AD San Viator X SD Deusto – Spain Tercera Group 4
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 AD San Viator – Winning probability: 2.55% | Fair line: 39.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.34% | Fair line: 5.77
🔴 SD Deusto – Winning probability: 80.11% | Fair line: 1.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 AD San Viator
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD San Viator x SD Deusto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD San Viator x SD Deusto

Should you bet on AD San Viator?

🔵 AD San Viator: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $142.50;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$827.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Should you bet on SD Deusto?

🔴 SD Deusto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD San Viator x SD Deusto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 AD San Viator
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD San Viator x SD Deusto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 AD San Viator, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 AD San Viator.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 SD Deusto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD San Viator x SD Deusto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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