📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense
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Analysis from AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense for the Portugal Liga 3 – 15 of January
🏟️ AD Sanjoanense X UD Oliveirense – Portugal Liga 3
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Sanjoanense and UD Oliveirense.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense
Is betting on AD Sanjoanense worth it?
🔵 AD Sanjoanense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $731.00;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$71.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on UD Oliveirense?
🔴 UD Oliveirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $472.80;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AD Sanjoanense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 AD Sanjoanense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 AD Sanjoanense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AD Sanjoanense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Sanjoanense x UD Oliveirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves