AD Sanjoanense x Varzim Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 15:00

AD Sanjoanense 3.60

X 3.10

Varzim 1.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim

Important information for your tip for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Sanjoanense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Varzim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0. 👉 In the last 3 Varzim matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from AD Sanjoanense x Varzim for the Portugal Liga 3 – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Sanjoanense and Varzim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Sanjoanense?

🔵 AD Sanjoanense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is it worth betting on Varzim?

🔴 Varzim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $465.50;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$44.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Sanjoanense x Varzim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AD Sanjoanense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 AD Sanjoanense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 AD Sanjoanense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Sanjoanense x Varzim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.