AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:00

AD Sanjoanense 2.01

X 3.21

Vilaverdense 3.47

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1605.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Sanjoanense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vilaverdense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AD Sanjoanense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense, with AD Sanjoanense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Sanjoanense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Vilaverdense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AD Sanjoanense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Vilaverdense playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense:

Analysis from AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense for the Portugal Liga 3 – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Sanjoanense and Vilaverdense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense

Should you bet on AD Sanjoanense?

🔵 AD Sanjoanense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $434.30
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$135.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $751.40;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$91.40.

Is betting on Vilaverdense worth it?

🔴 Vilaverdense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $568.10
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$201.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Sanjoanense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AD Sanjoanense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AD Sanjoanense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Sanjoanense x Vilaverdense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.