AD Tarma x Alianza Lima Betting tips for March 14 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 23:00

AD Tarma 4.00

X 3.29

Alianza Lima 1.91

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima

Important information for your tip for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Tarma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Lima in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AD Tarma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Alianza Lima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Alianza Lima, AD Tarma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Alianza Lima matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, AD Tarma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Alianza Lima conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AD Tarma has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Alianza Lima playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AD Tarma x Alianza Lima?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Tarma x Alianza Lima, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AD Tarma x Alianza Lima for the Peru Liga 1 – 14 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Tarma and Alianza Lima.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281359 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima

Is it worth betting on AD Tarma?

🔵 AD Tarma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $1050.00
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $641.20;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$78.80.

Is betting on Alianza Lima worth it?

🔴 Alianza Lima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $336.70;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$293.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Tarma x Alianza Lima

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AD Tarma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AD Tarma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 AD Tarma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Tarma x Alianza Lima

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.