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Home » Predictions » Others » AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional Betting tips for April 13 in Peru Liga 1
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 20h30 Peru Liga 1
AD Tarma AD Tarma
PREDICTION AD Tarma wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Deportivo Binacional Deportivo Binacional
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional Betting tips for April 13 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
20:30
AD Tarma AD Tarma
1.43
X
4.36
Deportivo Binacional Deportivo Binacional
6.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional:

🔮 AD Tarma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Tarma, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Tarma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-37.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Binacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Tarma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Binacional matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional for the Peru Liga 1 – 13 of April

🏟️ AD Tarma X Deportivo Binacional – Peru Liga 1
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 20:30
🔵 AD Tarma – Winning probability: 90.49% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.18% | Fair line: 16.18
🔴 Deportivo Binacional – Winning probability: 3.33% | Fair line: 30.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Tarma and Deportivo Binacional.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Tarma?

🔵 AD Tarma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $387.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $201.60;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$738.40.

Should you bet on Deportivo Binacional?

🔴 Deportivo Binacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $156.00;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$814.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 AD Tarma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 AD Tarma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Deportivo Binacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Tarma x Deportivo Binacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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