AD Tarma x Sport Boys Betting tips for February 7 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for AD Tarma x Sport Boys, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 18:00

AD Tarma 1.52

X 3.80

Sport Boys 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AD Tarma x Sport Boys:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1900.00!

🔮 Sport Boys wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Boys, you can win up to $2750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for AD Tarma x Sport Boys:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Tarma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Boys in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Tarma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sport Boys, AD Tarma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Sport Boys matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sport Boys conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AD Tarma has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sport Boys playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for AD Tarma vs Sport Boys?

Lets analyze the match between AD Tarma and Sport Boys in Perus Liga 1, considering recent statistics, odds, and available news.

📈 Performance analysis and table: AD Tarma has shown strength playing at home, with 4 wins in 5 recent games at their stadium, averaging 1.8 goals per game and conceding only 1 goal per match. Meanwhile, Sport Boys struggles away, with only one win in the last five away games and a lower average of goals scored (1.4) against a high average of goals conceded (2.4). This indicates that AD Tarma is more solid defensively and offensively when playing on their home turf.

📰 Relevant news: AD Tarma faces some key absences due to injuries, plus the possible departure of forward Jhonny Vidales, who is a key player with ten goals this season. Despite that, the team remains competitive in the league, occupying eighth position with a good recent streak including a victory over a strong opponent like Sporting Cristal. There is no information about Sport Boys that could significantly change this analysis.

Based on median odds, the approximate implied probabilities are: AD Tarma win ~58%, draw ~23%, Sport Boys win ~19%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats of the teams and the clear home advantage for AD Tarma (playing at their usual stadium), my fair estimate for the probabilities would be: AD Tarma win: 60%, draw: 22%, Sport Boys win: 18%.

Thus, the fair odds would be approximately: 1.67 for ADT win; 4.55 for a draw; 5.56 for an away win.

Analyzing the expected values of bets using the final market odds versus my fair odds:
– ADT Win EV = ((1.55 / 1.67) -1)*100 ≈ -7% (no value)
– Draw EV = ((3.9 /4.55)-1)*100 ≈ -14% (no value)
– Sport Boys Win EV = ((5.5 /5.56)-1)*100 ≈ -1% (no value)

No bet shows a positive expected value above +5%, indicating no clear value bet according to this combined analysis.

Final analysis:

Betting on AD Tarmas victory seems the safest choice due to their demonstrated technical superiority in recent stats and the confirmed home advantage at their usual stadium — despite some absences — but without a realistic expectation of extra profit since current odds are correctly adjusted to the scenario.
The Bets Kenya model suggests higher value for the away win (+28% EV), but this seems overly optimistic given the evident defensive weaknesses of the visitors away from home.
Therefore, I partially disagree with this prediction as I see a lower realistic chance of the visitors winning.
My recommendation is to avoid aggressive bets on this game or consider a less risky alternative market.

#FiqueDeOlho #LigaPeruana #ApuestasEsportivas ⚽💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on AD Tarma x Sport Boys?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AD Tarma x Sport Boys, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AD Tarma x Sport Boys for the Peru Liga 1 – 7 of February

Latest news about AD Tarma x Sport Boys

AD Tarma (ADT): AD Tarma (ADT) remains a competitive team in the 2025 Liga 1 Clausura, holding eighth place with 21 points after 14 matches, with six wins, three draws, and five losses; recent results include a 3-2 victory over Sporting Cristal, a 2-1 loss to Universitario, and a 3-0 defeat to Alianza Lima, while the team will face Universitario again on October 26 at 3:30 PM at Estadio Unión Tarma. The squad faces significant absences, as Víctor Cedrón remains sidelined due to a serious injury, and Gustavo Dulanto, Adrián Fernández, and Cedrón are unavailable for the upcoming match against Universitario. Striker Jhonny Vidales, who scored ten goals and provided one assist in nine games, is rumored to transfer to Goiás in Brazils Serie B, with speculation about a substantial fee. Former ADT coach Claudio Biaggio, who led the team to two wins, one draw, and one loss during his brief tenure, has moved to Comerciantes Unidos.

Visitor: No news available about the visiting team.

Table analysis for the game between AD Tarma and Sport Boys

AD Tarma: The team starts the championship in 16th place in the overall standings and also in the lower part of the Apertura table, with 0 points and a negative goal difference (-2) after a defeat in the first round. Since the Peruvian Liga 1 has 34 rounds and is at the beginning of the season (round 1), the match against Sport Boys is crucial to start the recovery and get out of the uncomfortable zone. The point gained or the victory would be important to avoid early pressure and seek to stay in the top division. Therefore, the match is of high importance for AD Tarma 👍.

Sport Boys: Sport Boys is positioned 11th in the overall table and also in the Apertura, with 1 point and a neutral goal difference. They started the championship with a draw in the first round. With an intermediate position on the table and still in the first round, the game against AD Tarma is important to maintain good performance and climb the table, but since the championship is long, the pressure is lower at this point of the season. A positive result is desirable to keep momentum and goals, but the match has medium importance for Sport Boys ⚖️.

Summary: The confrontation is of high importance for AD Tarma, which needs good results to avoid sinking into the lower part of the table early in the season. For Sport Boys, it is a match of medium importance, with the opportunity to improve position and gather important points for the course of the season. The game promises to be balanced and relevant within the early phase of Liga 1 2026 – Copa Apertura. ⚽🔥

Odds and handicap movements for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between AD Tarma x Sport Boys.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Tarma x Sport Boys right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1475440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on AD Tarma worth it?

🔵 AD Tarma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $249.60
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $812.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.00.

Should you bet on Sport Boys?

🔴 Sport Boys: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $990.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Tarma x Sport Boys

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AD Tarma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 AD Tarma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 AD Tarma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Sport Boys.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Tarma x Sport Boys

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for AD Tarma x Sport Boys