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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Adanaspor Adanaspor
PREDICTION No tip
Corum Belediyespor Corum Belediyespor
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Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
13:00
Adanaspor Adanaspor
3.64
X
3.35
Corum Belediyespor Corum Belediyespor
1.86

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor

The main points for the tip for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Adanaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Adanaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Adanaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 29 of September

🏟️ Adanaspor X Corum Belediyespor – Turkey 1 Lig
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Adanaspor – Winning probability: 23.66% | Fair line: 4.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.23% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ Corum Belediyespor – Winning probability: 48.10% | Fair line: 2.08
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Adanaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor

Is it worth betting on Adanaspor?

πŸ”΅ Adanaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $633.60;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $658.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$62.00.

Is betting on Corum Belediyespor worth it?

πŸ”΄ Corum Belediyespor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $412.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$107.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Adanaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Adanaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Adanaspor. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Adanaspor x Corum Belediyespor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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