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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis Betting tips for February 4 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h15 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
ADO 20 ADO 20
PREDICTION No tip
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
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ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis Betting tips for February 4 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
πŸ“… 4/2/2025
19:15
ADO 20 ADO 20
2.43
X
3.58
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
2.43

Our algorithm has selected this tip for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis

Some important points for the tip for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ADO 20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Excelsior Maassluis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Excelsior Maassluis matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 ADO 20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, ADO 20 conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 4 of February

🏟️ ADO 20 X Excelsior Maassluis – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
πŸ“… 4 of February, 2025 – 19:15
πŸ”΅ ADO 20 – Winning probability: 28.06% | Fair line: 3.56
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.10% | Fair line: 3.32
πŸ”΄ Excelsior Maassluis – Winning probability: 41.83% | Fair line: 2.39
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ADO 20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis

Should you bet on ADO 20?

πŸ”΅ ADO 20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $400.40;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$319.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $774.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$74.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Excelsior Maassluis?

πŸ”΄ Excelsior Maassluis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $600.60;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$20.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ADO 20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 ADO 20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ADO 20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Excelsior Maassluis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ADO 20 x Excelsior Maassluis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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