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Home » Predictions » Others » AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea Betting tips for January 12 in Greece Super League 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 18h30 Greece Super League 1
AEK Athens AEK Athens
PREDICTION AEK Athens wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
ODD: @1.14 Don't miss this prediction!

AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea Betting tips for January 12 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
18:30
AEK Athens AEK Athens
1.14
X
7.10
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
15.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea:

🔮 AEK Athens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Athens, you can win up to $570.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Athens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $118.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athens Kallithea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AEK Athens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Athens Kallithea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AEK Athens is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea for the Greece Super League 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ AEK Athens X Athens Kallithea – Greece Super League 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 AEK Athens – Winning probability: 98.44% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.35% | Fair line: 74.12
🔴 Athens Kallithea – Winning probability: 0.22% | Fair line: 463.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 AEK Athens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea

Is betting on AEK Athens worth it?

🔵 AEK Athens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $137.20
  • And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $61.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$929.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Athens Kallithea?

🔴 Athens Kallithea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 15.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 AEK Athens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 AEK Athens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.25 AEK Athens.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.25 Athens Kallithea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AEK Athens x Athens Kallithea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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