AEK Athens x Panathinaikos Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 1
📅 29/9/2024 15:30 |
AEK Athens 1.79 |
X 3.60 |
Panathinaikos 4.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos:
🔮 AEK Athens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Athens, you can win up to $895.00!
Some important points for the tip for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Athens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-43.0. |
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Analysis from AEK Athens x Panathinaikos for the Greece Super League 1 – 29 of September
🏟️ AEK Athens X Panathinaikos – Greece Super League 1 |
When the best bet on AEK Athens x Panathinaikos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos
Is betting on AEK Athens worth it?
🔵 AEK Athens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $568.80
- And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$288.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.
Is it worth betting on Panathinaikos?
🔴 Panathinaikos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$520.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match AEK Athens x Panathinaikos
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 AEK Athens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 AEK Athens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 AEK Athens.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 AEK Athens.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AEK Athens x Panathinaikos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.