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Home » Predictions » Others » AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa Betting tips for November 25 in Cyprus Division 1
Monday, 25 November 2024, 17h00 Cyprus Division 1
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
PREDICTION AEK Larnaca wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
APK Karmotissa APK Karmotissa
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa Betting tips for November 25 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
17:00
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
1.25
X
5.25
APK Karmotissa APK Karmotissa
9.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa:

🔮 AEK Larnaca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Larnaca, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Larnaca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $12.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on APK Karmotissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 AEK Larnaca did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, AEK Larnaca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against APK Karmotissa, AEK Larnaca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, APK Karmotissa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AEK Larnaca is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 AEK Larnaca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against APK Karmotissa playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa for the Cyprus Division 1 – 25 of November

🏟️ AEK Larnaca X APK Karmotissa – Cyprus Division 1
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 AEK Larnaca – Winning probability: 93.23% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.76% | Fair line: 17.36
🔴 APK Karmotissa – Winning probability: 1.01% | Fair line: 98.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 AEK Larnaca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa

Is it worth betting on AEK Larnaca?

🔵 AEK Larnaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $232.50
  • And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$162.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $255.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Is betting on APK Karmotissa worth it?

🔴 APK Karmotissa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $87.50;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$902.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 AEK Larnaca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 AEK Larnaca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 AEK Larnaca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 AEK Larnaca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AEK Larnaca x APK Karmotissa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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