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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres Betting tips for January 11 in Albania Championship
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 16h00 Albania Championship
Af Elbasani Af Elbasani
PREDICTION No tip
Teuta Durres Teuta Durres
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Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres Betting tips for January 11 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
16:00
Af Elbasani Af Elbasani
2.22
X
2.86
Teuta Durres Teuta Durres
3.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres

Some important points for the tip for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AF Elbasani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Teuta Durres in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, AF Elbasani scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, AF Elbasani conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres for the Albania Championship – 11 of January

🏟️ Af Elbasani X Teuta Durres – Albania Championship
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Af Elbasani – Winning probability: 46.54% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.83% | Fair line: 3.14
πŸ”΄ Teuta Durres – Winning probability: 21.63% | Fair line: 4.62
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Af Elbasani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres

Is it worth betting on Af Elbasani?

πŸ”΅ Af Elbasani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $573.40;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $595.20;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$84.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Teuta Durres?

πŸ”΄ Teuta Durres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $501.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$278.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Af Elbasani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Af Elbasani and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Af Elbasani.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Af Elbasani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Af Elbasani x Teuta Durres

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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