Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd Betting tips for March 11 in Wales Championship South

Our betting tip for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd, Tuesday, 11/3/2025

📅 11/3/2025 19:30

Afan Lido 2.90

X 3.94

Pontypridd Utd 1.97

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd

Some important points for the tip for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Afan Lido in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontypridd Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-85.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pontypridd Utd scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Pontypridd Utd, Afan Lido scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Afan Lido conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd for the Wales Championship South – 11 of March

When the best bet on Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd

Is betting on Afan Lido worth it?

🔵 Afan Lido: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$304.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $646.80;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$133.20.

Should you bet on Pontypridd Utd?

🔴 Pontypridd Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $523.80
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$63.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Afan Lido
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Afan Lido and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Afan Lido.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Afan Lido x Pontypridd Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.