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Home » Predictions » Others » AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels Betting tips for February 4 in England National League South
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England National League South
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels
ODD: @3.18 Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels Betting tips for February 4 in England National League South

Our betting tip for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
19:45
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
2.46
X
3.18
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels
2.56

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Hornchurch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tonbridge Angels in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, AFC Hornchurch conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tonbridge Angels conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels for the England National League South – 4 of February

🏟️ AFC Hornchurch X Tonbridge Angels – England National League South
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 AFC Hornchurch – Winning probability: 29.90% | Fair line: 3.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.06% | Fair line: 3.12
🔴 Tonbridge Angels – Winning probability: 38.04% | Fair line: 2.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AFC Hornchurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFC Hornchurch and Tonbridge Angels.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels

Should you bet on AFC Hornchurch?

🔵 AFC Hornchurch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $438.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$262.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $697.60;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$17.60.

Is it worth betting on Tonbridge Angels?

🔴 Tonbridge Angels: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $592.80;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$27.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AFC Hornchurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 AFC Hornchurch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 AFC Hornchurch. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Hornchurch x Tonbridge Angels

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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