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Home » Predictions » Others » AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova Betting tips for October 31 in Romania Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 16h30 Romania Cup
AFC Metalul Buzau AFC Metalul Buzau
PREDICTION CS U Craiova Wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
CS U Craiova CS U Craiova
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova Betting tips for October 31 in Romania Cup

Our betting tip for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
16:30
AFC Metalul Buzau AFC Metalul Buzau
11.23
X
6.00
CS U Craiova CS U Craiova
1.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova:

🔮 CS U Craiova wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CS U Craiova, you can win up to $600.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Metalul Buzau in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $685.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CS U Craiova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AFC Metalul Buzau scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CS U Craiova scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CS U Craiova conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova for the Romania Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ AFC Metalul Buzau X CS U Craiova – Romania Cup
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 AFC Metalul Buzau – Winning probability: 0.13% | Fair line: 777.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.40% | Fair line: 71.46
🔴 CS U Craiova – Winning probability: 98.47% | Fair line: 1.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 AFC Metalul Buzau
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213227 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Metalul Buzau?

🔵 AFC Metalul Buzau: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $50.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$940.00.

Is it worth betting on CS U Craiova?

🔴 CS U Craiova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $196.00;
  • And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 AFC Metalul Buzau
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 AFC Metalul Buzau, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 AFC Metalul Buzau.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.75 AFC Metalul Buzau.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Metalul Buzau x CS U Craiova

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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