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18/1/2022 19:45 |
 AFC Wimbledon2.75 |
X 3.30 |
Portsmouth  2.43 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
๐ฎ Portsmouth wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Portsmouth, you can win up to $1215.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best bookmakers from 2022, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth for the England League 1 – 18 of January
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๐๏ธ AFC Wimbledon X Portsmouth – England League 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289715 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth
Should you bet on AFC Wimbledon?
๐ต AFC Wimbledon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$505.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $782.00
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$122.00.
Is it worth betting on Portsmouth?
๐ด Portsmouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $700.70
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$190.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Wimbledon
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AFC Wimbledon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 AFC Wimbledon.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Portsmouth.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Wimbledon x Portsmouth
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Tuesday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
Get free tips on your Telegram
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
