Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba Betting tips for January 11 in Mali Premiere Division

Our betting tip for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:00

Afrique Football Elite 2.08

X 2.72

US Bougouba 3.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Important information for your tip for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Bougouba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against US Bougouba, Afrique Football Elite scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 US Bougouba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba, with Afrique Football Elite as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Afrique Football Elite conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, US Bougouba has not lost any of them. 👉 Afrique Football Elite has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against US Bougouba playing at home.

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Analysis from Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba for the Mali Premiere Division – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Is it worth betting on Afrique Football Elite?

🔵 Afrique Football Elite: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $486.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $602.00
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is betting on US Bougouba worth it?

🔴 US Bougouba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Afrique Football Elite
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Afrique Football Elite, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Afrique Football Elite. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Afrique Football Elite x US Bougouba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.